Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.