Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.31% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%) , while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.