Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.