League One Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley
  • C. Webster 46' yellowcard
  • C. Webster 60' goal
  • A. Hartridge 76' yellowcard
  • Kain Adom 80' yellowcard
  • J. McKiernan 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Bland 7'
  • yellowcard L. Connell 11'
  • yellowcard Reyes Cleary 63'
  • yellowcard A. Phillips 64'
  • yellowcard L. Farrell 74'
  • yellowcard M. Roberts 74'
  • yellowcard L. Farrell 86'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'
  • yellowcard M. Roberts 90'+5'

Burton Albion vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Blackpool 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 0 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 42.18% ▲ (+0.90)
Draw 24.23% ▼ (-0.35)
Barnsley 33.59% ▼ (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.35% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.47% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 18.53% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 2.5 60.37% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 2.5 39.63% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 38.16% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 61.84% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 4.5 23.33% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 4.5 76.67% ▼ (-0.50)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 33.15% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 40.43% ▼ (-0.36)
Barnsley 26.42% ▲ (+0.21)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 51.89% ▲ (+0.53)
No Goal 4.85% ▼ (-0.21)
Barnsley 43.26% ▼ (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 68.08% ▲ (+0.49)
Equal 8 10.21% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 8 21.72% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 9 56.75% ▲ (+0.65)
Equal 9 11.32% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 9 31.93% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 10.5 45.28% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 10.5 54.72% ▼ (-0.79)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 46.43% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 1.5 53.57% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 2.5 22.14% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 2.5 77.86% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 3.5 8.73% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 91.27% ▼ (-0.55)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 69.98% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 30.02% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 39.55% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 60.45% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 17.44% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 82.56% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 6.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.39% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 42.18%
Draw 24.24%
Barnsley 33.59%
Burton Albion
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.57)
Total : 42.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.24%
Barnsley
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 2
Barnsley
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion
  • J. Earl 45'+3' yellowcard
  • C. Vickers 55' goal
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 63' goal
  • David McGoldrick 63' yellowcard
  • Patrick Kelly 86' yellowcard
  • David McGoldrick 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jake Beesley 4'
  • goal Fábio André Tavares Desidério 35'
  • yellowcard J. McKiernan 82'
League One Gameweek 30
Barnsley
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Mael Durand de Gevigney 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 82'
  • yellowcard JJ McKiernan 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 7
Burton Albion
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley
  • Terence Vancooten 68' yellowcard
  • Jack Cooper Love 88' goal
  • Nicholas Akoto 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Earl 3'
  • yellowcard Mael Durand de Gevigney 20'
  • goal Luca Connell 36'
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 90'
League One Gameweek 42
Burton Albion
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley
  • Joe Powell 37' goal
  • goal John McAtee 54'
  • goal John McAtee 64'
  • goal Luca Connell 69'
League One Gameweek 8
Barnsley
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Devante Cole 21' goal
  • Devante Cole 68' goal
League One Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley
  • Conor Shaughnessy 50' goal
  • Dale Taylor 87' goal
  • goal Nicky Cadden 89'

Form Data

Blackpool 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 1 Bradford
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Reading
Northampton 0 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Stevenage
Exeter 1 - 1 Burton Albion
Barnsley 0 - 1 Doncaster
Barnsley 1 - 1 Wigan
Mansfield 2 - 2 Barnsley
Barnsley 1 - 1 Cardiff
Barnsley 2 - 1 Exeter
Barnsley 0 - 1 Wycombe