League One Gameweek 41
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Blackpool 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 0 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 34.13% and a draw has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.9%).

Result

Burton Albion 41.29%
Draw 24.58%
Barnsley 34.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.81% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.19% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 59.48%
Under 2.5 40.52%
Over 3.5 37.55%
Under 3.5 62.45%
Over 4.5 22.83% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.17% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 32.99%
Draw 40.79%
Barnsley 26.22%

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 51.37%
No Goal 5.05%
Barnsley 43.58%

Corners

Over 8 67.6%
Equal 8 10.4%
Under 8 22%
Over 9 56.1%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 32.4%
Over 10.5 44.5%
Under 10.5 55.5%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 45.34% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.66% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.26% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.74% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.18% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.82% (-0.02)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 70.37%
Under 0.5 29.63%
Over 1.5 39.72%
Under 1.5 60.28%
Over 2.5 17.62%
Under 2.5 82.38%
Over 3.5 6.71%
Under 3.5 93.29%

Score analysis

Burton Albion 41.3%
Draw 24.57%
Barnsley 34.13%
Burton Albion
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.24%
Other @ 7.79% (+0.01)
Total : 41.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 24.57%
Barnsley
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 6.32%
Total : 34.13%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Mael Durand de Gevigney 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 82'
  • yellowcard JJ McKiernan 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Terence Vancooten 68' yellowcard
  • Jack Cooper Love 88' goal
  • Nicholas Akoto 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Earl 3'
  • yellowcard Mael Durand de Gevigney 20'
  • goal Luca Connell 36'
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 90'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Joe Powell 37' goal
  • goal John McAtee 54'
  • goal John McAtee 64'
  • goal Luca Connell 69'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Devante Cole 21' goal
  • Devante Cole 68' goal
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Conor Shaughnessy 50' goal
  • Dale Taylor 87' goal
  • goal Nicky Cadden 89'