League One Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Reading
  • George Evans 25' goal
  • Andy Cannon 64' yellowcard
  • D. Williams 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 27'
  • goal Kamari Doyle 33'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 66'
  • yellowcard Kadan Young 67'
  • yellowcard Liam Fraser 84'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 84'
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 88'

Burton Albion vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Plymouth
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 36.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 25.71% ▲ (+0.24)
Reading 38.15% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.84% ▼ (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.36% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 22.64% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 54.72% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 2.5 45.25% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 3.5 32.71% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 67.29% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 18.96% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 81.04% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 27.18% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 43.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Reading 28.84% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 43.91% ▲ (+0.50)
No Goal 6.22% ▲ (+0.24)
Reading 49.87% ▼ (-0.75)

Corners

Over 8 65.79% ▲ (+1.72)
Equal 8 10.62% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 8 23.58% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 9 54.23% ▲ (+1.29)
Equal 9 11.56% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 9 34.21% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 10.5 42.73% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 10.5 57.27% ▼ (-0.76)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 38.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.38% ▼ (-0.03)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 72.43% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 0.5 27.57% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 40.48% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 59.52% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 2.5 17.53% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 82.47% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 6.36% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 93.64% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 36.18%
Draw 25.71%
Reading 38.15%
Burton Albion
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 36.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.71%
Reading
1-2 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.16)
0-1 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 38.15%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 24
Reading
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Jack Marriott 18' goal
  • Daniel Kyerewaa 37' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 68' yellowcard
  • Charlie Savage 77' yellowcard
  • Mamadi Camará 77' yellowcard
  • Ashqar Ahmed 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fábio André Tavares Desidério 52'
  • yellowcard N. Akoto 79'
  • yellowcard J. Taroni 87'
  • yellowcard J. Newall 87'
League One Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Reading
  • Rumarn Burrell 10' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 29' goal
  • Rumarn Burrell 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhaimha 36'
  • yellowcard Garcia Garcia 44'
  • goal Michael Craig 69'
  • goal Sam Smith 71'
League One Gameweek 9
Reading
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Chem Campbell 23' goal
  • Chem Campbell 42' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 50' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 82' goal
  • Charlie Savage 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Willis 41'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 81'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 84'
League One Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Reading
  • Mason Bennett 5' goal
  • Mustapha Carayol 11' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 42' goal
  • Mason Bennett 75' yellowcard
  • Ademola Ola-Adebomi 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Wing 34'
  • goal Sam Smith 59'
League One Gameweek 10
Reading
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Tom McIntyre 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 50'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 45'+12'
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 66'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 90'+2'
Championship
Burton Albion
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Reading
  • Ben Turner 29' yellowcard
  • Jake Buxton 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 51' goal
  • Kyle McFadzean 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 20'
  • yellowcard Liam Moore 27'
  • goal Chris Gunter 57'
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 68'
  • yellowcard Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 68'
  • yellowcard Tiago Ilori 71'

Form Data

Northampton 0 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Stevenage
Exeter 1 - 1 Burton Albion
Wycombe 3 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 3 - 0 Stockport
Luton 1 - 1 Burton Albion
Reading 2 - 2 Plymouth
Mansfield 1 - 0 Reading
Luton 2 - 3 Reading
Reading 2 - 1 Bradford
Port Vale 1 - 1 Reading
Reading 1 - 1 Bolton