League One Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Plymouth
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Reading win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 35.82% and a draw has a probability of 25.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 2-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).

Result

Burton Albion 35.82% (-0.08)
Draw 25.54%
Reading 38.64% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.05% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.65% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.35% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 55.19% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 44.81% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 32.83% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 67.17% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.92% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.08% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 27.35%
Draw 43.99% (-0.01)
Reading 28.66% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 43.39% (-0.07)
No Goal 6.02% (+0.01)
Reading 50.59% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 64.2% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.42% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.37% (+0.02)
Over 9 53.04%
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 35.8% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 42.03%
Under 10.5 57.97% (+0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 38.64% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 61.36% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.16% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.84% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.46% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.54% (+0.05)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 73.01% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 26.99% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 41.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.94% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.85% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.15% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.53% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 35.82%
Draw 25.53%
Reading 38.65%
Burton Albion
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8%
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.17% (-0.05)
Total : 35.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 25.53%
Reading
1-2 @ 8.64% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.91%
Other @ 6.18% (+0.01)
Total : 38.65%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Jack Marriott 18' goal
  • Daniel Kyerewaa 37' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 68' yellowcard
  • Charlie Savage 77' yellowcard
  • Mamadi Camará 77' yellowcard
  • Ashqar Ahmed 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fábio André Tavares Desidério 52'
  • yellowcard N. Akoto 79'
  • yellowcard J. Taroni 87'
  • yellowcard J. Newall 87'
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Rumarn Burrell 10' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 29' goal
  • Rumarn Burrell 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhaimha 36'
  • yellowcard Garcia Garcia 44'
  • goal Michael Craig 69'
  • goal Sam Smith 71'
League One Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Chem Campbell 23' goal
  • Chem Campbell 42' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 50' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 82' goal
  • Charlie Savage 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Willis 41'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 81'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 84'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Mason Bennett 5' goal
  • Mustapha Carayol 11' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 42' goal
  • Mason Bennett 75' yellowcard
  • Ademola Ola-Adebomi 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Wing 34'
  • goal Sam Smith 59'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Tom McIntyre 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 50'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 45'+12'
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 66'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 90'+2'
Championship
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ben Turner 29' yellowcard
  • Jake Buxton 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 51' goal
  • Kyle McFadzean 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 20'
  • yellowcard Liam Moore 27'
  • goal Chris Gunter 57'
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 68'
  • yellowcard Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 68'
  • yellowcard Tiago Ilori 71'