Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.