League One
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Kamarai Swyer 64' yellowcard
  • Tom Eaves 64' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Fornah 65' yellowcard
  • Michael Jacobs 83' yellowcard
  • Jack Perkins 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Beesley 32'
  • yellowcard D. Williams 68'
  • yellowcard Kain Adom 87'
  • yellowcard J. McKiernan 87'
  • goal K. Lofthouse 89'

Northampton Town vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 39.6%
Draw 28.29% (+0.04)
Burton Albion 32.14% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.12%
Under 2.5 56.88%
Over 3.5 21.92%
Under 3.5 78.11%
Over 4.5 11.11%
Under 4.5 88.89%

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 31.87%
Draw 43.92%
Burton Albion 24.21%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 50.32%
No Goal 9.28% (+0.01)
Burton Albion 40.4% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.15%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 31.05%
Over 9 45.17%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 42.85%
Over 10.5 34.05%
Under 10.5 65.95%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 35.38% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.62% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.34% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.66% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.05%
Under 3.5 95.95%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.97% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.03% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.68% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.32% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.68%
Under 3.5 97.32%

Score analysis

Northampton Town 39.59%
Draw 28.28%
Burton Albion 32.15%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 39.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.28% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 28.28%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 10.14% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.15%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Jake Beesley 3' goal
  • Jack Armer 23' goal
  • Max Dyche 28' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 44' goal
  • Dylan Willis 56' yellowcard
  • Terence Vancooten 59' yellowcard
  • George Evans 77' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Shade 84' goal
  • goal Tom Eaves 39'
  • yellowcard Ethan Wheatley 51'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 75'
League One Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Charlie Webster 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 84'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 86'
EFL Trophy
Nov 12, 2024 7.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Neo Dobson 2' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 34' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 47' goal
  • goal Nicholas Akoto 13'
  • goal Dylan Willis 36'
  • goal Charlie Webster 39'
  • goal Romelle Donovan 49'
  • goal Ben Whitfield 66'
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Will Hondermarck 26' yellowcard
  • Jon Brady 27' yellowcard
  • Tomas Kalinauskas 34' yellowcard
  • Samy Chouchane 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 33'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 34'
  • yellowcard Danilo Orsi 43'
League One Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Marc Leonard 22'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 36'
  • yellowcard Louie Moulden 47'
  • yellowcard Marc Leonard 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Marc Leonard 54' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 78' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 25'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 90'