League One Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2026 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Callum Maycock 10' goal
  • Joe Lewis 66' yellowcard
  • Zack Nelson 72' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 72' yellowcard
  • Antwoine Hackford 86' yellowcard
  • Jake Reeves 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Dyche 31'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 46'
  • yellowcard Nesta Guinness-Walker 46'
  • yellowcard Jack Vale 55'
  • yellowcard Michael Jacobs 86'

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 2 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Northampton 1 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.12% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 49.75% (-0.04)
Draw 26.12%
Northampton Town 24.13% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.05% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.81% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.9%
Under 3.5 76.1%
Over 4.5 12.89% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.11% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 37.46%
Draw 43.36%
Northampton Town 19.19%

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 59.58%
No Goal 8.23% (-0.01)
Northampton Town 32.19% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.85% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 31.55% (-0.09)
Over 9 45.12% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.15% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 34.23% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 65.77% (-0.07)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 43.93%
Under 1.5 56.07%
Over 2.5 18.98%
Under 2.5 81.02%
Over 3.5 6.6%
Under 3.5 93.4%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.44% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.56% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.21% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.79% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 7.45% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.55% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 49.75%
Draw 26.11%
Northampton Town 24.14%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 6.51%
Total : 49.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.11%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Feb 10, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Mathew Stevens 50' goal
  • Isaac Ogundere 51' yellowcard
  • Osman Foyo 69' yellowcard
  • James Tilley 69' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Vale 38'
  • yellowcard Dean Campbell 62'
  • yellowcard Tom Eaves 62'
  • yellowcard Kamarai Swyer 62'
  • goal Tom Eaves 73'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 80'
  • yellowcard Ben Hammond 90'
League One
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Conor McCarthy 10' goal
  • Jordan Thorniley 26' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 50' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 59' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 76' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Browne 16'
  • yellowcard Nathan Asiimwe 47'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 85'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 86'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • goal Jon Guthrie 27'
  • goal Ryley Towler 69' (OG)
EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT PTS Academy Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Fraser Horsfall 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Csoka 17'
  • yellowcard Aaron Presley 34'
  • goal Anthony Hartigan 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Alex Woodyard 74' yellowcard
  • Joe Pigott 88' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 90'+3' yellowcard