League One Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2026 12.00pm
Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 2 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Northampton 1 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw has a probability of 26.11% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (7.75%).

Result

AFC Wimbledon 49.9% (+0.29)
Draw 26.11% (-0.27)
Northampton Town 23.99% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.91% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.05% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 28.95% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 45.86% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 54.14% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 23.77% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 76.23% (-0.68)
Over 4.5 12.8% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 87.2% (-0.51)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 37.49% (+0.63)
Draw 43.37% (-0.40)
Northampton Town 19.14% (-0.24)

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 59.55% (+0.54)
No Goal 8.28% (-0.26)
Northampton Town 32.17% (-0.29)

Corners

Over 8 56.96% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 31.44% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.22% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.01)
Under 9 43.04% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 34.31% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.68%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 43.92% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 56.08% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 18.98% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 81.02% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 6.59% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 93.41% (-0.24)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.24% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 41.76% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 24% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 76% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 7.33% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 92.67% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 1.81% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 98.19% (-0.13)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 49.91%
Draw 26.11%
Northampton Town 23.99%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.93% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.21% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.51% (+0.23)
Total : 49.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.11%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.73% (+0.12)
Total : 23.99%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Feb 10, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Mathew Stevens 50' goal
  • Isaac Ogundere 51' yellowcard
  • Osman Foyo 69' yellowcard
  • James Tilley 69' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Vale 38'
  • yellowcard Dean Campbell 62'
  • yellowcard Tom Eaves 62'
  • yellowcard Kamarai Swyer 62'
  • goal Tom Eaves 73'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 80'
  • yellowcard Ben Hammond 90'
League One
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Conor McCarthy 10' goal
  • Jordan Thorniley 26' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 50' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 59' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 76' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Browne 16'
  • yellowcard Nathan Asiimwe 47'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 85'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 86'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • goal Jon Guthrie 27'
  • goal Ryley Towler 69' (OG)
EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT PTS Academy Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Fraser Horsfall 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Csoka 17'
  • yellowcard Aaron Presley 34'
  • goal Anthony Hartigan 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Alex Woodyard 74' yellowcard
  • Joe Pigott 88' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 90'+3' yellowcard