Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.25% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.