Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.