Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.