League One
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • Ronan Curtis 57' goal
  • Lorent Tolaj 58' yellowcard
  • Wes Harding 59' yellowcard
  • Caleb Watts 71' yellowcard
  • X. Amaechi 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard C. Forino 46'
  • yellowcard Johnny Kenny 49'
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 64'
  • yellowcard Mason Burstow 64'
  • goal Malachi Boateng 70' (OG)

Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Bradford 0 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Aribim Pepple

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 36.02% (+0.04)
Draw 25.54%
Bolton Wanderers 38.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.76% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.24% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 51.81% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 48.19% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 29.86% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.11% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 16.81% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.19% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 27.72%
Draw 41.96%
Bolton Wanderers 30.33%

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 43.01% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.66% (-0.01)
Bolton Wanderers 50.33%

Corners

Over 8 58.39% (-0.19)
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 30.41% (+0.20)
Over 9 46.92% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.46% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.61% (+0.19)
Over 10.5 36.14% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 63.87% (+0.15)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 36.94% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.06% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 14.8% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.2% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.97% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.03% (-0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.83% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 38.9% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 61.1% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.57% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.43% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.81% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 36.01%
Draw 25.54%
Bolton Wanderers 38.44%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 4.78% (+0.02)
Total : 36.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.54%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.62% (+0.01)
Total : 38.44%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Trophy
Apr 2, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Kyle Dempsey 4' goal
  • Dion Charles 10' goal
  • Elias Kachunga 49' goal
  • Gethin Jones 62' goal
League One Gameweek 38
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
League One Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Niall Ennis 34' goal
  • Niall Ennis 40' yellowcard
  • Joe Edwards 53' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hardie 88' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 65'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 43'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Brendan Galloway 6' goal
  • Conor Grant 15' goal
  • Brendan Galloway 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Amadou Bakayoko 12'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 50'
  • yellowcard Kieran Lee 54'