Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.