League One Gameweek 43
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham United vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
S. Nombe

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 0 - 3 Plymouth
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.28% and a draw has a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 0-1 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).

Result

Rotherham United 37.08% (-0.36)
Draw 27.65%
Barnsley 35.28% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.56% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.09% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 28.91% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 46.46% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 53.54% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.9% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 74.1% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 14.02% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 85.98% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 32.14%
Draw 41.78%
Barnsley 26.08%

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 48.38% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.75% (+0.07)
Barnsley 42.87% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.4% (-0.36)
Equal 8 10.4% (+0.01)
Under 8 22.2% (+0.35)
Over 9 55.91% (-0.34)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.03)
Under 9 32.6% (+0.36)
Over 10.5 44.34% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 55.66% (+0.27)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 35.5% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 64.5% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 14.36% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.64% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.87% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.13% (+0.04)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 67.91% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 32.09% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 33.83% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 66.17% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 12.55% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.45% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.9% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.1% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 37.08%
Draw 27.65%
Barnsley 35.27%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.69% (-0.05)
Total : 37.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.75% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.65%
Barnsley
0-1 @ 10.12% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.73% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.08% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.72% (+0.04)
Total : 35.27%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Mallik Wilks 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Phillips 52'
  • yellowcard Luca Connell 72'
League One Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Jon Russell 32' goal
  • Stephen Humphrys 86' goal
  • Luca Connell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 76'
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Carlton Morris 2' goal
  • Toby Sibbick 65' yellowcard
  • Aapo Halme 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun MacDonald 28'
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Angus MacDonald 54'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Smith 57' goal
  • Jamie Lindsay 69' yellowcard
  • Richard Wood 77' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cauley Woodrow 8'
  • goal Alex Mowatt 15'
  • yellowcard Michael Sollbauer 56'