League One
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • D. Kemp 69' yellowcard
  • D. Kemp 85' goal
  • yellowcard Paddy Lane 35'
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 68'
  • yellowcard Kadan Young 68'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 68'
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 89'

Stevenage vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Plymouth 1 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
James Tyrrell Reid

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Reading
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Stevenage 40.57% (-0.01)
Draw 27.94%
Reading 31.49% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.6% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.9% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.1% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.35% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.65% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.72% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.11% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.89% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Stevenage 28.68%
Draw 45%
Reading 26.31%

Team To Score First

Stevenage 47.64% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.03% (-0.01)
Reading 43.33%

Corners

Over 8 51.28% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 36.4% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.35% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.72% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 28.77% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 71.23% (-0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 36.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.42% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.39% (-0.02)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 64.65% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.35% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.31% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.21% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.79% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.88%
Under 3.5 97.12%

Score analysis

Stevenage 40.57%
Draw 27.94%
Reading 31.49%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 4.49% (+0.01)
Total : 40.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.94%
Reading
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.49%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 6, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Carl Piergianni 49' goal
  • Lewis Wing 59' yellowcard
  • Charlie Savage 78' yellowcard
  • goal Carl Piergianni 60'
League One Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Dan Kemp 30' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Elliott 65'
  • goal Harvey Knibbs 82'
League One Gameweek 27
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • yellowcard Charlie Savage 24'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mola 39'
  • goal Vadaine Oliver 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Harvey Knibbs 89'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhaimha 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 45'+4' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 57' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 5'
  • yellowcard Jamie Reid 9'
  • redcard Nathan Thompson 22'
  • yellowcard Alex MacDonald 26'
  • yellowcard Harrison Neal 69'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Kelvin Abretti 42' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 63' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Saxon Earley 10'
  • yellowcard Saxon Earley 38'
  • yellowcard Dean Campbell 58'
  • goal Danny Rose 89'