Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.08% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%) , while for a AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.