Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.