Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.