Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.