Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.48% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.1%) , while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.