Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.