League One
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT St James Park
  • Timur Tuterov 62' yellowcard
  • J. Aitchison 62' yellowcard
  • C. Cummins 62' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gomes 71' yellowcard
  • S. Cox 82' yellowcard
  • goal Rubin Colwill 31'
  • goal Rubin Colwill 34'
  • goal Alex Robertson 67'
  • yellowcard David Turnbull 71'
  • yellowcard Chris Willock 71'
  • yellowcard Joel Colwill 75'
  • yellowcard Callum Robinson 75'
  • goal Callum Robinson 86'
  • yellowcard Calum Scanlon 89'

Exeter City vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Exeter 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Barnsley 1 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Exeter City 27.6%
Draw 26.3%
Cardiff City 46.13% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.44% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.56% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 47.86% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.14% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.64% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.36% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.56% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.44% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 22.09%
Draw 40.48%
Cardiff City 37.43%

Team To Score First

Exeter City 33.69%
No Goal 7.96%
Cardiff City 58.35%

Corners

Over 8 59.37% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 29.34% (-0.04)
Over 9 47.71% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.65% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.63% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.68% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.32% (-0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 28.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.55%
Under 3.5 97.45%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 75.25% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 24.75% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.81% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.19% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.81% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Exeter City 27.61%
Draw 26.32%
Cardiff City 46.12%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 27.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.32%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 11.28% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 8.01% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58%
Other @ 6.65% (+0.02)
Total : 46.12%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Robertson 53' goal
  • Isaak Davies 56' yellowcard
  • Joel Bagan 87' yellowcard
  • Calum Chambers 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Oakes 82'
EFL Trophy
Sep 16, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • James Collins 45' goal
  • Mark Harris 64' goal
  • goal Matt Jay 22'
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 50'