League One Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
St James Park

Exeter City vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 2 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 12.30pm
Cardiff 0 - 2 Lincoln
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 30.73% and a draw has a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Exeter City 30.73%
Draw 27.14%
Cardiff City 42.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.62%
Under 1.5 28.38%
Over 2.5 46.55%
Under 2.5 53.45%
Over 3.5 25.57%
Under 3.5 74.43%
Over 4.5 13.68%
Under 4.5 86.32%

First Half Winner

Exeter City 23.48%
Draw 42.32%
Cardiff City 34.19%

Team To Score First

Exeter City 36.6%
No Goal 8.3%
Cardiff City 55.1%

Corners

Over 8 56.07%
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 32.49%
Over 9 44.57%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 43.93%
Over 10.5 33.94%
Under 10.5 66.06%

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 30.24%
Under 1.5 69.76%
Over 2.5 10.46%
Under 2.5 89.54%
Over 3.5 2.92%
Under 3.5 97.08%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 72.71%
Under 0.5 27.29%
Over 1.5 39.36%
Under 1.5 60.64%
Over 2.5 16.26%
Under 2.5 83.74%
Over 3.5 5.54%
Under 3.5 94.46%

Score analysis

Exeter City 30.72%
Draw 27.14%
Cardiff City 42.14%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.3%
2-2 @ 5.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 27.14%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 42.14%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Robertson 53' goal
  • Isaak Davies 56' yellowcard
  • Joel Bagan 87' yellowcard
  • Calum Chambers 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Oakes 82'
EFL Trophy
Sep 16, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • James Collins 45' goal
  • Mark Harris 64' goal
  • goal Matt Jay 22'
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 50'