League One Gameweek 40
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Amario Cozier-Duberry 13' goal
  • Johnny Kenny 30' goal
  • Amario Cozier-Duberry 49' goal
  • Rob Apter 56' yellowcard
  • Mason Burstow 56' yellowcard
  • Rúben Rodrigues 67' goal
  • K. Dempsey 68' yellowcard
  • Max Conway 68' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 80' yellowcard
  • Mason Burstow 81' goal
  • yellowcard Saxon Earley 39'
  • yellowcard Matt Phillips 59'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 60'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 60'
  • goal D. Kemp 64'
  • yellowcard Phoenix Patterson 74'

Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Cardiff 2 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Bradford 0 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
D. Kemp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.13% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (7.14%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 55.08% (-0.04)
Draw 25.13%
Stevenage 19.79% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.66% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 29.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.27% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.94% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.56% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.44% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 40.07%
Draw 41.9%
Stevenage 18.02%

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 60.81%
No Goal 8.5%
Stevenage 30.69%

Corners

Over 8 59.12%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 29.46%
Over 9 47.39%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 40.88%
Over 10.5 36.33%
Under 10.5 63.67%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 47.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.69% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.31% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.04% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.96% (+0.03)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 53.63% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 46.37% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 19.99% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 80.01% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 5.4% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.6% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.19% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.81% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 55.08%
Draw 25.12%
Stevenage 19.79%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 7.99% (-0.02)
Total : 55.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 8.5%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 25.12%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 19.79%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Chem Campbell 68' yellowcard
  • D. Kemp 68' yellowcard
  • Harry Cornick 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. McAtee 58'
  • yellowcard K. Dempsey 58'
  • yellowcard Thierry Gale 73'
  • yellowcard Ethan Erhahon 88'
League One Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Josh Cogley 66' goal
  • goal Jake Young 76'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 82'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Alex Revell 32' yellowcard
  • Daniel Phillips 67' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 71' goal
  • Luther Wildin 80' yellowcard
  • Dan Butler 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Santos 13'
  • goal John McAtee 16'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 31'
  • yellowcard George Johnston 59'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 61'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 73'
  • yellowcard Luke Southwood 78'
  • goal Dion Charles 88'
League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 75'
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 76'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 13' goal
  • George Thomason 28' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 44' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 49' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 70' goal
  • goal Jamie Reid 20'
  • goal Jamie Reid 65'
  • yellowcard Jamie Reid 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 69'
League Two Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Declan John 7' goal
  • Jordan Williams 78' redcard
  • George Thomason 85' yellowcard