Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.13% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (7.14%).