League One Gameweek 40
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 2 Stockport
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 Blackpool
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
James Tyrrell Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw has a probability of 25.12% and a win for Stevenage has a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a Stevenage win it is 0-1 (7.09%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 56.15% (+0.06)
Draw 25.12%
Stevenage 18.73% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.38% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.6%
Under 1.5 30.4%
Over 2.5 44.05% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 55.95% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 23.17%
Under 3.5 76.83%
Over 4.5 13.07% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.93% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 40.56%
Draw 41.44%
Stevenage 18.01%

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 61.45%
No Goal 8.99%
Stevenage 29.56%

Corners

Over 8 63.87%
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 25.27%
Over 9 52.27%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 36.13%
Over 10.5 40.93%
Under 10.5 59.07%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 47.5% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.61% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.39% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.02% (-0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 51.88% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 48.12% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 18.52% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 81.48% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 4.73% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 95.27% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.02%
Under 3.5 98.98%

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 56.17%
Draw 25.12%
Stevenage 18.72%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.33% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 11.06% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 7.97% (+0.01)
Total : 56.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.12%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 7.09%
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 18.72%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Chem Campbell 68' yellowcard
  • D. Kemp 68' yellowcard
  • Harry Cornick 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. McAtee 58'
  • yellowcard K. Dempsey 58'
  • yellowcard Thierry Gale 73'
  • yellowcard Ethan Erhahon 88'
League One Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Josh Cogley 66' goal
  • goal Jake Young 76'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 82'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Alex Revell 32' yellowcard
  • Daniel Phillips 67' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 71' goal
  • Luther Wildin 80' yellowcard
  • Dan Butler 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Santos 13'
  • goal John McAtee 16'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 31'
  • yellowcard George Johnston 59'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 61'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 73'
  • yellowcard Luke Southwood 78'
  • goal Dion Charles 88'
League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 75'
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 76'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 13' goal
  • George Thomason 28' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 44' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 49' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 70' goal
  • goal Jamie Reid 20'
  • goal Jamie Reid 65'
  • yellowcard Jamie Reid 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 69'
League Two Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Declan John 7' goal
  • Jordan Williams 78' redcard
  • George Thomason 85' yellowcard