Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.