League One Gameweek 43
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Peterborough 1 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 2 Stockport
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Bolton Wanderers has a probability of 32.44% and a draw has a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win is 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result

Cardiff City 42.74% (-0.04)
Draw 24.83%
Bolton Wanderers 32.44% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 21.57% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.65% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.35% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.28% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.72% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.01% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.99% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 32.63%
Draw 42.16%
Bolton Wanderers 25.21%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 51.27% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.71% (+0.01)
Bolton Wanderers 43.02% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.07% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.84% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.09% (+0.08)
Over 9 45.06% (-0.08)
Equal 9 12.01%
Under 9 42.93% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 33.91% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 66.09% (+0.08)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 44.51% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 55.49% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 20.13% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.87% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 7.31% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.69% (+0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 68.49% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.51% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.35% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.65% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.57%
Under 3.5 95.43%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 42.73%
Draw 24.83%
Bolton Wanderers 32.43%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.04%
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 7.1% (-0.03)
Total : 42.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.83%
Bolton Wanderers
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 32.43%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 25, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Armand Traore 34' goal
  • Sean Morrison 44' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 43'
Championship
Dec 23, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darren Pratley 41' yellowcard
  • Karl Henry 61' yellowcard
  • Gary Madine 75' goal
  • Gary Madine 87' yellowcard
  • Joshua Vela 88' goal
  • yellowcard Loic Damour 56'
  • yellowcard Lee Peltier 77'
  • yellowcard Bruno Ecuele Manga 78'
  • yellowcard Greg Halford 82'
Championship
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sean Morrison 30' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Zohore 55' goal
  • Peter Whittingham 94' goal
  • goal Zach Clough 7'
  • redcard Niall Maher 32'
Championship
Dec 5, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Madine 18' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 41' yellowcard
  • Darren Pratley 69' yellowcard
  • Dorian Dervite 72' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 90' redcard
  • goal Tony Watt 13'
  • goal Scott Malone 53'
  • goal Anthony Pilkington 80'
  • yellowcard Fabio 88'
  • yellowcard Matthew Connolly 89'
Championship
Apr 6, 2015 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 8'
  • goal Eidur Gudjohnsen 55'
  • goal Craig Davies 59'
  • goal Craig Davies 73'