League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 1 Chesterfield
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Paddy Madden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 31.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result

Bristol Rovers 41.56% (-0.22)
Draw 26.51%
Accrington Stanley 31.93% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.09% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 24.91% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 51.44% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 48.56% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 29.6% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 70.4% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 16.79% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.21% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 28.71% (-0.01)
Draw 44.96% (-0.16)
Accrington Stanley 26.33% (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 47.94% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.2% (-0.09)
Accrington Stanley 44.86% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 59.23% (+0.39)
Equal 8 11.67% (+0.02)
Under 8 29.11% (-0.40)
Over 9 47.19% (+0.34)
Equal 9 12.04% (+0.05)
Under 9 40.77% (-0.39)
Over 10.5 35.83% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 64.17% (-0.25)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 41.55% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.45% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.23% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.77% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.71% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.29% (+0.05)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 66.96% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 33.04% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 33.52% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 66.48% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 12.72% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 87.28% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 4.03% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.97% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 41.56%
Draw 26.5%
Accrington Stanley 31.92%
Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.82% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.47% (-0.05)
Total : 41.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.01)
Total : 26.5%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.9% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.79% (+0.07)
Total : 31.92%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Tommy Leigh 51' goal
  • Ryan Astley 79' goal
League One Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • goal Joe Pritchard 54'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luke Leahy 15' goal
  • Alex Rodman 45'+1' goal
  • Sam Nicholson 67' goal
  • Zain Westbrooke 68' goal
  • Luke McCormick 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Barclay 35'
  • goal Paul Smyth 77'
League One Gameweek 8
Feb 2, 2021 7.00pm
6
1
HT : 4 1
FT Wham Stadium
  • Joe Pritchard 7' yellowcard
  • Joe Pritchard 8' goal
  • Dion Charles 12' goal
  • Dion Charles 17' goal
  • Colby Bishop 28' goal
  • Sean McConville 44' yellowcard
  • Colby Bishop 48' goal
  • Dion Charles 70' goal
  • goal Sam Nicholson 11'
  • yellowcard George Williams 61'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2020 3.00pm
Wham Stadium