League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Barrow 0 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Chesterfield 2 - 3 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
George Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Shrewsbury Town has a probability of 30.51% and a draw has a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win is 1-2 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

Bristol Rovers 45.5% (+0.11)
Draw 23.99%
Shrewsbury Town 30.51% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.2% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.8% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 40% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.7% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 62.3% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 23.34% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.66% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 36.12%
Draw 41.65%
Shrewsbury Town 22.22%

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 56.79%
No Goal 4.89% (-0.02)
Shrewsbury Town 38.32% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.03% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 32.18% (+0.08)
Over 9 44.18% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 43.97% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 33.25% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 66.75% (+0.05)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 48.69% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 51.31% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 23.83% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 76.17% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 9.7% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 90.3% (-0.07)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.28% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.72% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 36.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.4% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.55% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.74% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.26% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 45.51%
Draw 23.99%
Shrewsbury Town 30.51%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 4.94% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.39% (+0.06)
Total : 45.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.02)
Total : 23.99%
Shrewsbury Town
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.43% (-0.04)
Total : 30.51%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Tommy McDermott 8' yellowcard
  • Mal Benning 72' yellowcard
  • C. Aneke 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 46'
  • yellowcard Alfie Chang 51'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 63'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 88'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Callum Stewart 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Callum Stewart 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilliead 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Harrison Biggins 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Harrison Biggins 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Martin 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Jamie Lindsay 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lindsay 52' goal
  • Clinton Mola 54' yellowcard
  • Taylor Moore 62' yellowcard
  • Promise Omochere 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 40'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Sam Finley 7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Bayliss 15'
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 66'
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 89'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Carl Winchester 50' yellowcard
  • Chey Dunkley 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Marquis 29'
  • yellowcard Antony Evans 42'
  • goal John Marquis 73'
  • yellowcard Jack Hunt 87'
  • goal Aaron Collins 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 38
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Luke Leahy 3' goal
  • Rob Street 53' goal
  • goal Josh Coburn 70'