League Two Gameweek 38
Bristol Rovers
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
Shrewsbury
  • Luke Thomas 63' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Akhamrich 63' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Quigley 63' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 79' goal
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trey Samuel-Ogunsuyi 58'
  • yellowcard Tommy McDermott 80'
  • yellowcard Will Gray 88'
  • yellowcard Mal Benning 89'

Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Bromley 1 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
George Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Bristol Rovers 45.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 23.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Shrewsbury Town 30.27% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.57% ▼ (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.44% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 18.56% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 60.6% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 2.5 39.4% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 3.5 38.47% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 3.5 61.53% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 4.5 23.96% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 4.5 76.04% ▼ (-0.56)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 35.35% ▼ (-0.77)
Draw 41.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Shrewsbury Town 22.94% ▲ (+0.73)

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 55.68% ▼ (-1.11)
No Goal 4.9%
Shrewsbury Town 39.42% ▲ (+1.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.58% ▲ (+0.72)
Equal 8 11.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 8 31.83% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 9 44.9% ▲ (+0.79)
Equal 9 11.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 43.42% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 10.5 34.07% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 10.5 65.93% ▼ (-0.77)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 49.28% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 50.72% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 24.46% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 75.54% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 3.5 10.09% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 89.91% ▼ (-0.32)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.7% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 63.3% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 15.74% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 84.26% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 5.91% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 94.09% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 45.75%
Draw 23.98%
Shrewsbury Town 30.28%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 45.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 23.98%
Shrewsbury Town
1-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Shrewsbury
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers
  • Tommy McDermott 8' yellowcard
  • Mal Benning 72' yellowcard
  • C. Aneke 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 46'
  • yellowcard Alfie Chang 51'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 63'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 88'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 35
Shrewsbury
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers
  • Callum Stewart 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Callum Stewart 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilliead 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Harrison Biggins 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Harrison Biggins 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Martin 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
Shrewsbury
  • Jamie Lindsay 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lindsay 52' goal
  • Clinton Mola 54' yellowcard
  • Taylor Moore 62' yellowcard
  • Promise Omochere 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 40'
League One Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
Shrewsbury
  • Sam Finley 7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Bayliss 15'
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 66'
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 89'
League One Gameweek 8
Shrewsbury
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers
  • Carl Winchester 50' yellowcard
  • Chey Dunkley 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Marquis 29'
  • yellowcard Antony Evans 42'
  • goal John Marquis 73'
  • yellowcard Jack Hunt 87'
  • goal Aaron Collins 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers
  • Luke Leahy 3' goal
  • Rob Street 53' goal
  • goal Josh Coburn 70'

Form Data

Bromley 1 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Barrow 0 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Crewe
Swindon 1 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers 3 - 1 Grimsby Town
Oldham 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury 0 - 2 Cheltenham
Chesterfield 2 - 3 Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury 1 - 2 Walsall
Salford City 1 - 2 Shrewsbury
Accrington 0 - 2 Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury 1 - 0 Notts County