Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 42%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.