League Two Gameweek 38
Accrington
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Wham Stadium
Notts County
  • Seamus Conneely 38' yellowcard
  • Dan Martin 46' yellowcard
  • D. Abimbola 73' yellowcard
  • Isaac Sinclair 73' yellowcard
  • goal Jodi Jones 9'
  • goal Keanan Bennetts 31'
  • goal Conor Grant 68'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Hall 70'
  • yellowcard Alassana Jatta 70'
  • yellowcard Maziar Kouhyar 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ness 77'
  • yellowcard Luke Browne 77'
  • goal Tyrese Hall 83'

Accrington Stanley vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Barrow 0 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Paddy Madden

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
Notts County 2 - 3 Chesterfield
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%).

Result

Accrington Stanley 27.68% ▲ (+0.83)
Draw 27.39% ▲ (+0.24)
Notts County 44.93% ▼ (-1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.71% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 30.29% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 44.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 55.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 23.11% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 76.89% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 4.5 12.08% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 87.92% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 25.93% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 44.45% ▲ (+0.11)
Notts County 29.63% ▼ (-0.68)

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 39.26% ▲ (+0.97)
No Goal 9% ▲ (+0.23)
Notts County 51.74% ▼ (-1.18)

Corners

Over 8 52.53% ▼ (-1.93)
Equal 8 12.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 35.25% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 9 40.57% ▼ (-1.82)
Equal 9 11.96% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 9 47.47% ▲ (+1.93)
Over 10.5 29.86% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 10.5 70.14% ▲ (+1.55)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 26.53% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 73.47% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 8.26% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 91.74% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 2.17% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.83% ▼ (-0.08)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 73.64% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 0.5 26.36% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 1.5 39.8% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 60.2% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 2.5 16.49% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 83.51% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 5.31% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 94.69% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 27.69%
Draw 27.38%
Notts County 44.93%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 27.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.38%
Notts County
0-1 @ 12.2% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 44.93%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Notts County
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Accrington
  • Jodi Jones 56' yellowcard
  • Conor Grant 56' yellowcard
  • Keanan Bennetts 71' yellowcard
  • Kellan Gordon 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ness 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Caton 67'
  • goal Shaun Whalley 72'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 79'
  • yellowcard Freddie Sass 88'
League Two Gameweek 27
Accrington
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Wham Stadium
Notts County
  • Shaun Whalley 3' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 3' yellowcard
  • Josh Woods 9' yellowcard
  • Josh Woods 9' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 35' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 6'
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 6'
  • goal George Abbott 16'
  • goal George Abbott 16'
  • goal David McGoldrick 27'
  • goal David McGoldrick 27'
  • goal David McGoldrick 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinchy 90'
League Two Gameweek 5
Notts County
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Accrington
  • David McGoldrick 18' goal
  • David McGoldrick 67' goal
  • yellowcard Tyler Walton 16'
  • yellowcard Zach Awe 19'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 63'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Quirk 65'
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 86'
League Two Gameweek 39
Accrington
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wham Stadium
Notts County
  • Shaun Whalley 17' goal
  • Connor O'Brien 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Nolan 79' goal
  • Brad Hills 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jim O'Brien 4'
  • goal Alassana Jatta 45'
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 71'
League Two Gameweek 6
Notts County
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Accrington
  • Dan Crowley 7' goal
  • Jodi Jones 22' yellowcard
  • Aaron Nemane 61' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 64' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 90' goal
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Richard Brindley 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Andrews 27'
  • yellowcard Tommy Leigh 74'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 86'
League Two
Accrington
Apr 2, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Notts County
  • Mark Hughes 9' goal

Form Data

Barrow 0 - 0 Accrington
Accrington 1 - 1 Cambridge
Bromley 2 - 1 Accrington
Accrington 0 - 1 Barnet
Accrington 0 - 2 Shrewsbury
Tranmere 0 - 1 Accrington
Notts County 2 - 3 Chesterfield
Walsall 1 - 2 Notts County
Notts County 0 - 1 Grimsby Town
Notts County 5 - 0 Tranmere
Shrewsbury 1 - 0 Notts County
Bromley 1 - 1 Notts County