League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Wham Stadium

Accrington Stanley vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Accrington 1 - 1 Cambridge
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Paddy Madden

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Walsall 1 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 26.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Accrington Stanley 26.93% (+0.11)
Draw 26.83%
Notts County 46.27% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.16% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.01% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 28.99% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.59% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 54.41% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 24.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.55% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.94% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.06% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 25.35%
Draw 44.35%
Notts County 30.3%

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 38.47% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.38% (-0.01)
Notts County 53.15%

Corners

Over 8 54.47%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 33.37%
Over 9 42.38% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.08% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.53%
Over 10.5 31.41% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.59%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 26.61% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.39% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.38% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.62% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.22%
Under 3.5 97.78%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 75.1% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.9% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.43% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.82% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.18% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 26.92%
Draw 26.84%
Notts County 46.29%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.48% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.39% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.44% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.14% (+0.02)
Total : 26.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 26.84%
Notts County
0-1 @ 12.06% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.23% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.36% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.74% (-0.02)
Total : 46.29%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Jodi Jones 56' yellowcard
  • Conor Grant 56' yellowcard
  • Keanan Bennetts 71' yellowcard
  • Kellan Gordon 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ness 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Caton 67'
  • goal Shaun Whalley 72'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 79'
  • yellowcard Freddie Sass 88'
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Wham Stadium
  • Shaun Whalley 3' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 3' yellowcard
  • Josh Woods 9' yellowcard
  • Josh Woods 9' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 35' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 6'
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 6'
  • goal George Abbott 16'
  • goal George Abbott 16'
  • goal David McGoldrick 27'
  • goal David McGoldrick 27'
  • goal David McGoldrick 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinchy 90'
League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 18' goal
  • David McGoldrick 67' goal
  • yellowcard Tyler Walton 16'
  • yellowcard Zach Awe 19'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 63'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Quirk 65'
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 86'
League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Shaun Whalley 17' goal
  • Connor O'Brien 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Nolan 79' goal
  • Brad Hills 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jim O'Brien 4'
  • goal Alassana Jatta 45'
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 71'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Dan Crowley 7' goal
  • Jodi Jones 22' yellowcard
  • Aaron Nemane 61' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 64' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 90' goal
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Richard Brindley 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Andrews 27'
  • yellowcard Tommy Leigh 74'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 86'
League Two
Apr 2, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Hughes 9' goal