League Two
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Sil Swinkels 36' goal
  • Matthew Platt 45'+1' goal
  • Lewis Macari 57' yellowcard
  • Keanan Bennetts 58' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Hall 58' yellowcard
  • Maziar Kouhyar 77' yellowcard
  • Alassana Jatta 78' yellowcard
  • goal Armando Dobra 16'
  • goal Tom Naylor 44'
  • yellowcard Janoi Donacien 46'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 48'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 49'
  • goal Liam Mandeville 66'
  • yellowcard Will Grigg 76'
  • yellowcard Ryan Stirk 87'
  • yellowcard Malik Owolabi-Belewu 87'

Notts County vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Walsall 1 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Chesterfield 2 - 3 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Notts County 50.98% (-0.05)
Draw 24.26% (+0.05)
Chesterfield 24.76% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.21% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.09% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 44.91% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 32.91% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.09% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.38% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 80.62% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Notts County 36.5%
Draw 42.46%
Chesterfield 21.04%

Team To Score First

Notts County 58.89% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.91% (+0.01)
Chesterfield 35.2%

Corners

Over 8 52.77% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.99% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.24% (-0.02)
Over 9 41.02%
Equal 9 11.75% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.23% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 30.46%
Under 10.5 69.54%

Notts County Goals

Over 1.5 50.31% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 49.69% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.47% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 75.53% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.73% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.27% (+0.04)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 61.77% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.23% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.02% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 10.42% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Notts County 50.98%
Draw 24.25%
Chesterfield 24.77%
Notts County
1-0 @ 10.04% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.48% (-0.03)
Total : 50.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.25%
Chesterfield
0-1 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.89% (+0.02)
Total : 24.77%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle McFadzean 15' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 19' yellowcard
  • Jamie Grimes 36' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 65' goal
  • Kelle Roos 76' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Dennis 48'
  • yellowcard Nick Tsaroulla 68'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 87'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Will Jarvis 81' goal
  • goal Aribim Pepple 70'
  • goal Tom Naylor 88'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Paddy Madden 6' goal
  • Jenson Metcalfe 64' yellowcard
  • Will Grigg 74' goal
  • Oliver Banks 90' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 14'
  • yellowcard Matt Palmer 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 64'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 87'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'+4'
National League
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Wembley Stadium
  • Andy Dallas 6' goal
  • Armando Dobra 93' goal
  • goal John Bostock 88'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 108'
National League Gameweek 28
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Armando Dobra 45'+3' goal
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 25'
  • goal Adam Chicksen 72'
National League Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Jim O'Brien 37' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 60' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 63' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 64' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Mandeville 16'
  • goal Akwasi Asante 55'
  • yellowcard Jeff King 81'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'