Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%).