League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2026 8.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Gillingham 1 - 5 MK Dons
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Colchester 0 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jack Payne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw has a probability of 26.1% and a win for Colchester United has a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.42%) , while for a Colchester United win it is 0-1 (7.83%).

Result

MK Dons 48.92% (-0.36)
Draw 26.1% (+0.08)
Colchester United 24.92% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.46% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.96% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 28.04% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 46.74% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 53.26% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 25.21% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 74.79% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 13.65% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.35% (+0.09)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 38.19%
Draw 41.31%
Colchester United 20.49%

Team To Score First

MK Dons 56.53% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.93% (+0.05)
Colchester United 35.54% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.13% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 34.8% (+0.01)
Over 9 41.27% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 46.87% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 30.59%
Under 10.5 69.41%

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 44.06% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 55.94% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 19.19% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 80.81% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.62% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.38% (+0.10)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 59.91% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 40.09% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 25.47% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 74.53% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 7.85% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 92.15% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.01% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.99% (-0.03)

Score analysis

MK Dons 48.92%
Draw 26.11%
Colchester United 24.92%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.57% (-0.10)
Total : 48.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.93% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.11%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 7.83% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.96% (+0.03)
Total : 24.92%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Rob Hunt 20' yellowcard
  • Kyreece Lisbie 64' yellowcard
  • Micah Mbick 64' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Frankie Terry 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 61'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 61'
  • yellowcard Kane Thompson-Sommers 61'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 83'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Leko 87'
FA Cup
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Joe White 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 86' yellowcard
  • Callum Hendry 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 28'
  • goal Jack Payne 87'
  • yellowcard Tyreece Simpson 90'+1'
EFL Trophy
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Fiacre Kelleher 27' yellowcard
  • Jamie McDonnell 35' yellowcard
  • Anthony Scully 41' goal
  • Fiacre Kelleher 54' goal
  • Alfie Bendle 79' yellowcard
  • Rob Hunt 79' yellowcard
  • goal Stephen Wearne 34'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Tom Flanagan 69' yellowcard
  • Arthur Read 81' goal
  • Samson Tovide 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 15'
  • yellowcard Jack Tucker 27'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 75'
League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • MJ Williams 47' yellowcard
  • M. Williams 48' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 55' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 83' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 89' goal
  • yellowcard Arthur Read 66'