League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Matt Macey 39' goal
  • Scott Hogan 60' yellowcard
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 70' yellowcard
  • Curtis Nelson 71' yellowcard
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 88' yellowcard
  • Aaron Nemane 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Payne 64'
  • yellowcard Will Goodwin 64'
  • yellowcard Romeo Akachukwu 72'
  • yellowcard Owura Edwards 73'
  • yellowcard Jaden Williams 74'

MK Dons vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 2 MK Dons
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Colchester 0 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jack Payne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.34% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 49.01% (+0.04)
Draw 26.34%
Colchester United 24.62% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 45.73%
Under 2.5 54.27%
Over 3.5 24.3% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.7% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.1% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.9% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 37.85%
Draw 41.2%
Colchester United 20.94%

Team To Score First

MK Dons 55.6%
No Goal 8.31%
Colchester United 36.09%

Corners

Over 8 52.78% (-0.38)
Equal 8 12.3% (+0.05)
Under 8 34.92% (+0.35)
Over 9 40.72% (-0.39)
Equal 9 12.06%
Under 9 47.22% (+0.38)
Over 10.5 29.91% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 70.09% (+0.36)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 43.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.43% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.75%
Under 2.5 81.25%
Over 3.5 6.44%
Under 3.5 93.56%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 59.28% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 40.72% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 24.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.36% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.5% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.5% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.09% (+0.02)

Score analysis

MK Dons 49.03%
Draw 26.33%
Colchester United 24.63%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.49% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.03%
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.48% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.4%
Total : 49.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.33%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Total : 24.63%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Rob Hunt 20' yellowcard
  • Kyreece Lisbie 64' yellowcard
  • Micah Mbick 64' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Frankie Terry 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 61'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 61'
  • yellowcard Kane Thompson-Sommers 61'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 83'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Leko 87'
FA Cup
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Joe White 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 86' yellowcard
  • Callum Hendry 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 28'
  • goal Jack Payne 87'
  • yellowcard Tyreece Simpson 90'+1'
EFL Trophy
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Fiacre Kelleher 27' yellowcard
  • Jamie McDonnell 35' yellowcard
  • Anthony Scully 41' goal
  • Fiacre Kelleher 54' goal
  • Alfie Bendle 79' yellowcard
  • Rob Hunt 79' yellowcard
  • goal Stephen Wearne 34'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Tom Flanagan 69' yellowcard
  • Arthur Read 81' goal
  • Samson Tovide 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 15'
  • yellowcard Jack Tucker 27'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 75'
League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • MJ Williams 47' yellowcard
  • M. Williams 48' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 55' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 83' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 89' goal
  • yellowcard Arthur Read 66'