Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.34% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.