Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.