League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Wham Stadium

Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Gillingham 2 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Paddy Madden

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Fleetwood 2 - 5 Barnet
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 32.18% and a draw has a probability of 26.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (9.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Accrington Stanley 32.18% (-0.04)
Draw 26.55%
Fleetwood Town 41.27% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.67% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 47.64%
Under 2.5 52.36%
Over 3.5 26.11% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 73.89% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.99% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.01% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 25.39%
Draw 45.88%
Fleetwood Town 28.73%

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 41.17%
No Goal 7.88%
Fleetwood Town 50.95%

Corners

Over 8 59.7% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.25%
Under 8 29.05% (+0.09)
Over 9 48.07% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.64% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.3% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 37.02% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 62.98% (+0.06)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 31.79% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.21% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 11.52% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.48% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.6%
Under 3.5 96.4%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.3%
Under 0.5 27.7%
Over 1.5 38.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.08% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.65% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.35% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.11% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 32.18%
Draw 26.56%
Fleetwood Town 41.25%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 32.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 5.22%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.56%
Fleetwood Town
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.99% (+0.01)
Total : 41.25%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 25, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Trophy
Sep 2, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Wham Stadium
  • Conor Grant 39' yellowcard
  • Benn Ward 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ben Woods 52' goal
  • Jake Batty 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Helm 9'
  • yellowcard Brendan Wiredu 27'
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 31'
  • goal Phoenix Patterson 62'
  • goal Conor Grant 85' (OG)
  • goal Mackenzie Hunt 90'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 16, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Highbury Stadium
  • James Bolton 11' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bennett 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 52' goal
  • Phoenix Patterson 70' yellowcard
  • goal Sonny Aljofree 32'
  • yellowcard Sonny Aljofree 35'
  • yellowcard Tyler Walton 87'
  • yellowcard Zach Awe 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Michael Nottingham 65' goal
  • Tommy Leigh 81' goal
  • goal Jack Marriott 9'
  • goal Jack Marriott 35'
  • goal Promise Omochere 57'
  • goal Phoenix Patterson 90'
  • goal Jack Marriott 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Carlos Mendes Gomes 50' goal
  • Shaun Rooney 54' goal
  • Josh Earl 59' goal