Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.