Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.