League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Tranmere 0 - 1 Swindon
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Fleetwood Town has a probability of 28.72% and a draw has a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 0-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Swindon Town 44.97%
Draw 26.31%
Fleetwood Town 28.72% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.71% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.54% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 26.46% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 48.93% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.07% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.9% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.1% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.64% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.36% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 32.9%
Draw 44.06%
Fleetwood Town 23.04%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 51.11%
No Goal 7.43% (+0.01)
Fleetwood Town 41.46% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 68.34% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.03% (-0.01)
Under 8 21.63% (-0.09)
Over 9 57.21% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.13% (-0.01)
Under 9 31.66% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 45.9% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 54.1% (-0.11)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.49% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.51% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.1% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 81.9% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 6.29% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.71% (+0.03)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.91% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 36.09% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 29.61% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 70.39% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 10.34% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 89.66% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.9% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.1% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 44.97%
Draw 26.29%
Fleetwood Town 28.71%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.91% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.83% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.15% (-0.02)
Total : 44.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 26.29%
Fleetwood Town
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.76% (-0.03)
Total : 28.71%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Rhys Bennett 36' yellowcard
  • Owen Devonport 44' yellowcard
  • Brendan Wiredu 46' yellowcard
  • goal Kabongo Tshimanga 38'
  • yellowcard Kabongo Tshimanga 45'
  • goal Miguel Freckleton 47'
  • goal Rhys Bennett 75' (OG)
  • goal Nnamdi Ofoborh 88'
League Two Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT County Ground
  • Harry Smith 8' goal
  • Harry Smith 29' goal
  • Ollie Clarke 40' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 58' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Mayor 33'
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 34'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 44'
  • goal Matty Virtue 67'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Sam Finley 11' yellowcard
  • James Hill 76' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Twine 5'
  • goal Scott Twine 60'
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 75'
League One Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Hallam Hope 35' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Grounds 61' yellowcard
  • goal Paddy Madden 29'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 57'
  • yellowcard Callum Connolly 82'
  • yellowcard Mark Duffy 90'+3'
League One
Apr 1, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ashley Hunter 45' yellowcard
  • Ben Davies 52' yellowcard
  • Ashley Eastham 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphael Branco 44'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 70'
  • yellowcard Rohan Ince 77'
  • goal Nicky Ajose 81'