Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.19% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%) , while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.