Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.