Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.