Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.