Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (10.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.