Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.