League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Bobby Kamwa 68' goal
  • Joe Thomas 73' yellowcard
  • Gerard Garner 73' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 86' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Opoku 87' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Brennan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tommy McDermott 44'
  • yellowcard John Marquis 69'
  • yellowcard John Marquis 70'
  • yellowcard Ismeal Kabia 70'
  • yellowcard B. Ihionvien 76'

Newport County vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Walsall 2 - 1 Newport
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Michael Spellman

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 4 Crewe
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
George Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Newport County 37.29%
Draw 25.2% (-0.04)
Shrewsbury Town 37.51% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.56% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.2% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.61%
Under 2.5 46.39%
Over 3.5 31.31%
Under 3.5 68.69%
Over 4.5 18.04% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.96% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Newport County 30.82%
Draw 43.41%
Shrewsbury Town 25.77%

Team To Score First

Newport County 49.34% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.37% (-0.01)
Shrewsbury Town 44.29%

Corners

Over 8 52.55%
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 35.71%
Over 9 41.06%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 47.45%
Over 10.5 30.73%
Under 10.5 69.28%

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 38.77% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.23% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.1% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.9% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.58% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.42% (+0.02)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.03% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.97% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.07%
Under 1.5 60.93%
Over 2.5 16.56%
Under 2.5 83.44%
Over 3.5 5.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newport County 37.29%
Draw 25.2%
Shrewsbury Town 37.51%
Newport County
1-0 @ 8.5%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 5.43% (-0.02)
Total : 37.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.2%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.78%
Other @ 5.71% (+0.01)
Total : 37.51%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Jan 31, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miles Storey 94' yellowcard
  • Lee Minshull 95' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Louis Akpa-Akpro 77'
  • yellowcard Connor Goldson 95'
  • redcard Keith Southern 96'
League Two
Sep 20, 2014 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Vernon 7' yellowcard
  • James Wesolowski 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Sandell 56'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jackson 79'
  • redcard Andrew Hughes 85'