League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Walsall 2 - 1 Newport
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Michael Spellman

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 4 Crewe
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
George Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 37.26% and a draw has a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (8.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).

Result

Newport County 37.26%
Draw 25.23% (+0.04)
Shrewsbury Town 37.51% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.53% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.78% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 23.22% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 53.61% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 46.39% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 31.31% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 68.69% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 18.03% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.97% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Newport County 30.82%
Draw 43.41%
Shrewsbury Town 25.77%

Team To Score First

Newport County 49.33% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.38% (+0.05)
Shrewsbury Town 44.29% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 52.55% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.74% (-0.02)
Under 8 35.71% (+0.08)
Over 9 41.06% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.02)
Under 9 47.45% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 30.72% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.28% (+0.04)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 38.75% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.25% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.08% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.92% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.57% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.43% (+0.05)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.03% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 28.97% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 39.08% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 60.92% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 16.57% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.43% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 5.86% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.14% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Newport County 37.25%
Draw 25.23%
Shrewsbury Town 37.51%
Newport County
1-0 @ 8.5% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.42% (-0.04)
Total : 37.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.38% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 25.23%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.71% (-0.05)
Total : 37.51%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Jan 31, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miles Storey 94' yellowcard
  • Lee Minshull 95' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Louis Akpa-Akpro 77'
  • yellowcard Connor Goldson 95'
  • redcard Keith Southern 96'
League Two
Sep 20, 2014 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Vernon 7' yellowcard
  • James Wesolowski 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Sandell 56'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jackson 79'
  • redcard Andrew Hughes 85'