Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.58% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.