League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester United vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Tranmere 0 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jack Payne

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 1 Walsall
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 33.69% and a draw has a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 0-1 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).

Result

Colchester United 39.02% (+0.02)
Draw 27.29% (-0.02)
Swindon Town 33.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.22% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.96%
Under 1.5 28.04%
Over 2.5 47.01%
Under 2.5 52.99%
Over 3.5 25.13%
Under 3.5 74.87%
Over 4.5 13.09%
Under 4.5 86.91%

First Half Winner

Colchester United 30.41%
Draw 43.54%
Swindon Town 26.05%

Team To Score First

Colchester United 50.07%
No Goal 8.14%
Swindon Town 41.79%

Corners

Over 8 60.27%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.35%
Over 9 48.44%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 39.73%
Over 10.5 37.18%
Under 10.5 62.82%

Colchester United Goals

Over 1.5 36.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.54% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.46% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.53% (-0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.53% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.1% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 11.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Colchester United 39.01%
Draw 27.29%
Swindon Town 33.68%
Colchester United
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.31% (+0.01)
Total : 39.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 5.25%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 27.29%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.34% (-0.02)
Total : 33.68%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT County Ground
  • Ollie Clarke 15' goal
  • Tunmise Sobowale 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Daniel Barden 60' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 82' goal
  • George Cox 90'+8' goal
  • George Cox 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McDonnell 30'
  • goal Jack Payne 44'
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 45'+1'
  • goal Jack Payne 61'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 78'
  • redcard Ellis Iandolo 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Harry Smith 10' goal
  • Samson Tovide 12' goal
  • Samson Tovide 26' goal
  • Jack Payne 38' goal
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 34'
  • yellowcard Grant Hall 43'
  • yellowcard Joel McGregor 58'
FA Cup
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
ET County Ground
  • Will Wright 23' yellowcard
  • Joel McGregor 83' goal
  • Harry Smith 85' yellowcard
  • Joel McGregor 102' yellowcard
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 110' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 9'
  • yellowcard Danny Cowley 11'
  • yellowcard Jamie McDonnell 23'
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 63'
  • goal Harry Anderson 64'
  • yellowcard Rob Hunt 71'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 85'
  • yellowcard Aaron Donnelly 90'
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT County Ground
  • Charlie Austin 18' goal
  • Tom Brewitt 43' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 14'
  • yellowcard Danny Cowley 15'
  • goal Matt Jay 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Marley Marshall-Miranda 64'
  • goal Bradley Ihionvien 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 1
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Liam Kinsella 49' goal
  • Samson Tovide 49' yellowcard
  • Samson Tovide 64' goal
  • Noah Chilvers 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jake Young 23'
  • yellowcard Dan Kemp 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Kinsella 45'