Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.