Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.36% and a win for Kozarmisleny had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%) , while for a Kozarmisleny win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.