Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.