Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.