Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.77% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Mirandes win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.