Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.