Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.