Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.